Real-time core inflation correctly signals acceleration
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Core goods and services diverge
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Part I of II
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2
New vehicle CPIs fell as yields spiked in June, then quickly recovered
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Transport CPIs in driver's seat (as always)
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A Respite from Energy
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July real-time CPIs falling fast with gasoline prices
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2
Real-time Core CPI nails it!
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Perhaps a bit in core goods CPIs
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Revised real-time CPIs significantly higher through end June
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But especially important now
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Good match by real-time data, a month or so ahead in general merchandise
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